Wednesday, February 29, 2012

Pour some sugar on me

Sugar has been creeping higher lately, as seen on the daily futures chart. 

Here's the weekly view which shows the longer swings going back to 2006. 

Note the larger uptrends and ensuing deep retracements that have happened from the 2007 base, near 10 cents, on. 

Of course, the latest move is more of a slow edge higher off the recent price shelf of 23-24 cents. Sugar will have to clear the 30 cent level and the recent highs near 32 cents before any major move is evident on the weekly charts.

Here's the daily chart of SGG, the sugar ETN. I'll be watching for a pullback on lighter volume in the days ahead. Since I'm not active in the futures market, I'll consider a long position in SGG. 

Cautionary note: volume is very light in many of these single commodity ETNs. That may lead me to consider other, more liquid, trade opportunities instead.  

For those who'd like to read more about sugar from a futures trader's point of view, please see Peter Brandt's recent blog posts. He is an experienced trader and knows far more about the long-term price action, as well as building a trade via back month futures contracts.

Disclosure: no position in SB_F or SGG at the time of writing, may initiate long or short positions any time after. Educational post, not a recommendation for readers to buy/sell any security.