Business cycle gives way to the credit cycle

Yesterday I listened to a roundtable discussion aired during hour 2 of the Financial Sense Newshour between Jim Puplava, Frank Barbera and Brian Pretti of Contraryinvestor.com. Their discussion is focused on determining the shape of things to come for the markets and the global economy, but the ideas presented here reach are larger in scope than the future direction of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

I can practically assure you that the ideas discussed in this interview will not be heard on Monday's major business and cable news broadcasts. If you want to open yourself up to some less-than-popular notions regarding economic reality, give this broadcast a listen.

One section I found particularly engaging occurs with the group fleshing out the idea of the credit cycle's emerging preeminence over the conventional business cycle. Lots more though, including a comment on fractional reserve banking, a subject that was discussed by Paul van Eeden in Thursday's post.

Lest you think that this post is the work of a gloomy Gus, let me mention that it is warm and sunny and the first Stone Roses LP is finishing its spin. What is the sentiment meter reading on that?

Nasdaq credit rating junked.

S&P cut Nasdaq's credit rating to junk status citing debt burdens and its questionable strategy to buy a controlling interest in the London Stock Exchange. Financial Times reported that the exchange's counterparty credit & bank loan rating were lowered fromm BBB- (lowest investment grade rating) to BB+. The change will increase Nasdaq's borrowing costs should it wish to pursue aquisition targets. For an earlier look at the exchange consolidation trend that brought about Nasdaq's push for a stake in the LSE, please see "Exchange fever" .

Jesse Livermore: How to Trade in Stocks (1940 Ed. E-book)

If you've been around markets for any length of time, you've probably heard of 20th century supertrader, Jesse Livermore . Today we're highlighting his rare 1940 work, How to Trade in Stocks (ebook, pdf). But first, a brief overview of Livermore's life and trading career (bio from Jesse Livermore's Wikipedia entry). "During his lifetime, Livermore gained and lost several multi-million dollar fortunes. Most notably, he was worth $3 million and $100 million after the 1907 and 1929 market crashes, respectively. He subsequently lost both fortunes. Apart from his success as a securities speculator, Livermore left traders a working philosophy for trading securities that emphasizes increasing the size of one's position as it goes in the right direction and cutting losses quickly. Ironically, Livermore sometimes did not follow his rules strictly. He claimed that lack of adherence to his own rules was the main reason for his losses after making his 1907 and...

Finance Trends 2019 Mid-Year Markets Review

Email subscribers of the Finance Trends Newsletter receive the first look at new articles and market updates, such as the following piece, sent out to our email list on Sunday (6/14). Hello and welcome, everyone! If you received our last email notice over the July 4th holiday, you'll know that this weekend's newsletter will serve as a mid-year market update and a follow-up to issue #29, " How to Reinvest in a Rising Market ". Ladies and gentlemen, without further ado, let's start the show... Finance Trends Newsletter: Our Mid-Year Market Review When we last spoke, back in February, the U.S. stock market was rallying off its December-January lows. As the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reclaimed their 200 day moving averages in February and March, it became increasingly apparent that a lot of retail investors (and perhaps some institutional investors) were left under-invested while watching this recovery move from the sidelines. The U.S. stock ...

Finance Trends Letter

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