Skip to main content

Mergers and global liquidity

Is cheap money the driving force behind recent merger activity? I've noticed a steady increase in consolidations across a variety of sectors in any number of localities. It seems like some of the more successful companies have been collecting cash and are undecided over what to do with it. The more favorable dividend tax rates in the US have led some companies to increase or reinstate dividend payouts over the past few years, while others have decided to enact share buybacks or acquire companies.

In the resource, energy, and utilities sectors, a lot of deals seem to be driven by fear or a rush to replace reserves (in the case of the oil and gold companies). Some mergers have taken on a political dimension, with the recent utilities mergers in Europe and the failed ports deal in the US shining a light on increased feelings of protectionism and nationalism. But what of the recent exchange mergers? Are they driven by a real desire to improve efficiency and offerings, or is it a bit of ambitious industry globalization? Is their publicly traded stock a strategic currency for buying out competitors or exchanges abroad, or will they buy their targets with cash?

The hedge funds were making the flashy money at the start of the decade, but the last few years have been about private equity deals. The private equity firms have been doing a great share of the buyout deals in recent years, largely by using debt and bank financing in their company takeovers and reorganizations. Private equity and M&A activity are certainly playing a part in driving the UK market, according to one Reuters report:

"Private equity will also keep the market well supported but the earnings momentum has peaked ... so the market will really run on M&A activity and the dividend cash flow payouts"

More on this to come.

Popular posts from this blog

Lessons from Hedge Fund Market Wizards: Scott Ramsey

Today we continue our series, "Lessons from Hedge Fund Market Wizards" , with a look at Jack Schwager's interview with Scott Ramsey of Denali Asset Management.  Ramsey, a futures trader and CTA who works on the island of St. Croix, spoke to Schwager about his first foray into the markets, his evolution as a trader, and the process he stands by to protect and grow his clients' money. 1) . Ramsey started trading in college. He was roped into the OTC metals market via a broker's ad in the Wall St. Journal. The broker charged customers a flat fee to buy and sell as much as they wanted in a particular market for six month. At the time, Scott was a novice and didn't know about futures, so he traded metals in this fashion through the inflationary run-up of the late 1970s. 2) . Scott had to rethink his trading strategy after he bought silver at $50 an oz., only to watch it collapse to $26 following a long string of limit-down days. He sold as soon as the market...

Finance Trends 2019 Mid-Year Markets Review

Email subscribers of the Finance Trends Newsletter receive the first look at new articles and market updates, such as the following piece, sent out to our email list on Sunday (6/14).   Hello and welcome, everyone! If you received our last email notice over the July 4th holiday, you'll know that this weekend's newsletter will serve as a mid-year market update and a follow-up to issue #29, " How to Reinvest in a Rising Market ".   Ladies and gentlemen, without further ado, let's start the show...  Finance Trends Newsletter: Our Mid-Year Market Review When we last spoke, back in February, the U.S. stock market was rallying off its December-January lows. As the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reclaimed their 200 day moving averages in February and March, it became increasingly apparent that a lot of retail investors (and perhaps some institutional investors) were left under-invested while watching this recovery move from the sidelines.  The U.S. stock ...

How to "Pull the Trigger" on Your Trading Ideas

In our last post, I quoted hedge fund manager, Jim Leitner on the importance of following up on your investment ideas.  Today I'd like to follow up and share some thoughts on how you can learn to consistently "pull the trigger" on your best trading setups and investing ideas. In order to help you do that, we'll take from the best and offer up key insights from interviews with top traders and trading psychologists like Alan Farley, Brett Steenbarger, and Doug Hirschhorn .  Now before we get to their key insights on overcoming trading anxiety and pulling the trigger on your trading ideas, let's remember what Jim Leitner said in his interview: "Learn to love to listen to people and when you hear something interesting, follow up on it. Don't just think, "Well that's an interesting idea" only to find out a year later that the company you could've bought shares in is now up 500-fold. You never want to say woulda, coulda, shoulda...