Skip to main content

Marc Faber on Thailand, markets

A little background on the situation in Thailand as markets resume trading there.

From The New Zealand Herald web site:

BANGKOK - Thailand went back to work as normal on Thursday after a military coup legitimised by the king but the opposition called for fast-tracked elections to show the new rulers are serious about a return to democracy.

A day after the military shut down the city in the interests of maintaining calm, Bangkok traffic was back to the familiar near-gridlock, while coup leaders worked on fulfilling a promise of a civilian prime minister in two weeks.

The stock market was down just 0.6 per cent at the midday break after falling as much as 4.2 per cent in the first minutes, a far less precipitous drop than had been feared in the immediate aftermath of the coup.

Traders said a royal proclamation legitimising the military government went a long way to reassure investors.

The coup leaders said they would craft a constitution within a year to repair flaws that ousted Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra was accused of exploiting to wield near-dictatorial powers, then hold an election.

But Abhisit Vejjajiva, leader of the main opposition Democrat Party, called for elections in six months and urged the generals to lift restrictions on individual rights.

"We are encouraged that they don't want to hold onto power and that their job is to put the country back on the democratic path," he said.

"But they have to prove it and prove it as soon as possible."

Thailand was technically still under martial law.

The same article went on to note that Moody's had reaffirmend Thailand's ratings and stable outlook Thursday, though Morgan Stanley had cut their growth forecasts for the country.

Bloomberg reported that risks to bondholders were easing, as credit-default swaps based on Thailand's bonds fell from earlier highs.

The risk of owning Thailand's bonds fell after the nation's monarch gave his support to the military leaders who seized control of the government, according to traders betting on the creditworthiness of countries in the credit-default swap market.

The price of credit-default swaps based on Thailand's bonds fell to $49,000 from as high as $70,000 on Sept. 19, when the coup ousted Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra. An increase signals perceptions of credit quality are deteriorating; a decrease indicates improvement.

Global stock investor Mark Mobius, who was quoted in the Bloomberg article, felt the events in Thailand were not unprecedented and noted that he would be a buyer at lower levels.

Moneycontrol India asked Thailand - based investor Marc Faber his opinion of what was happening in the markets and in Thailand. He seems to feel that Thailand's coup is being over attributed as an explanation for movements in the markets. He also makes some very interesting comments on commodities, India and the US dollar. Have a look.

Popular posts from this blog

Nasdaq credit rating junked.

S&P cut Nasdaq's credit rating to junk status citing debt burdens and its questionable strategy to buy a controlling interest in the London Stock Exchange. Financial Times reported that the exchange's counterparty credit & bank loan rating were lowered fromm BBB- (lowest investment grade rating) to BB+. The change will increase Nasdaq's borrowing costs should it wish to pursue aquisition targets. For an earlier look at the exchange consolidation trend that brought about Nasdaq's push for a stake in the LSE, please see "Exchange fever" .

Jesse Livermore: How to Trade in Stocks (1940 Ed. E-book)

If you've been around markets for any length of time, you've probably heard of 20th century supertrader, Jesse Livermore . Today we're highlighting his rare 1940 work, How to Trade in Stocks (ebook, pdf). But first, a brief overview of Livermore's life and trading career (bio from Jesse Livermore's Wikipedia entry). "During his lifetime, Livermore gained and lost several multi-million dollar fortunes. Most notably, he was worth $3 million and $100 million after the 1907 and 1929 market crashes, respectively. He subsequently lost both fortunes. Apart from his success as a securities speculator, Livermore left traders a working philosophy for trading securities that emphasizes increasing the size of one's position as it goes in the right direction and cutting losses quickly. Ironically, Livermore sometimes did not follow his rules strictly. He claimed that lack of adherence to his own rules was the main reason for his losses after making his 1907 and...

Finance Trends 2019 Mid-Year Markets Review

Email subscribers of the Finance Trends Newsletter receive the first look at new articles and market updates, such as the following piece, sent out to our email list on Sunday (6/14).   Hello and welcome, everyone! If you received our last email notice over the July 4th holiday, you'll know that this weekend's newsletter will serve as a mid-year market update and a follow-up to issue #29, " How to Reinvest in a Rising Market ".   Ladies and gentlemen, without further ado, let's start the show...  Finance Trends Newsletter: Our Mid-Year Market Review When we last spoke, back in February, the U.S. stock market was rallying off its December-January lows. As the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reclaimed their 200 day moving averages in February and March, it became increasingly apparent that a lot of retail investors (and perhaps some institutional investors) were left under-invested while watching this recovery move from the sidelines.  The U.S. stock ...