Thursday, February 04, 2010

Jim Chanos: "overheating" in China



Here's what I'm currently watching: noted short-seller and hedge fund manager, Jim Chanos gives a talk on "Overheating & Overindulgence" in China at the London School of Economics Alternative Investments Conference (see also: Bloomberg video).

We've noted here before that Chanos is hugely bearish on the Chinese economy and looking to bet against its overheated real estate and construction businesses by shorting commodities and ancillary suppliers.

In this presentation Chanos offers his thoughts on China's GDP growth, its credit excesses, and the interplay of its economic and political system. Very interesting stuff, even if Jim Rogers is skeptical over the recent findings of newly-minted China experts.

Is he right? Given my limited knowledge of the situation, I'm inclined to agree with Marc Faber (a friend of both Chanos and Rogers) who notes that Jim Chanos is "hyper smart" and willing to back his thesis, though it's uncertain how the timing of a Chinese bust will play out.

Related articles and posts:

1. Pivot Capital Report: China's Investment Boom - Finance Trends.

2. Is China Headed Towards Collapse? - Politico.

3. Marc Faber: China bubble bad for commodities - Tech Ticker.