Skip to main content

Fed cuts rates in "emergency" move

The Federal Reserve has cut the fed funds rate to 3.5 percent, down three quarters of a point from its previous level of 4.25 percent. The discount rate was also lowered to 4 percent.

Here's more from Reuters:

Tuesday's rate cut, a week before Fed policy-makers convene for a regularly scheduled meeting on Jan. 29-30, was eye-popping in the context of the Fed's usual gradualist approach.

But the Fed still needs to do more, traders and analysts said.

"The market is telling the Fed that they have to ease more," said Martin Mitchell, head of government trading at Stifel Nicolaus & Co in Baltimore.

The Fed's biggest easing in the funds rate since October 1984 occurred while U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson called for a government stimulus package, which some analysts dismissed as being too small to revive a deteriorating economy.

In fact, more Wall Street analysts are predicting a U.S. recession this year. UBS became the latest firm to forecast the U.S. economy would contract in the first half of the year.

On one side of the fence, the traders and market participants who have become accustomed to easy money conditions are calling for more. Focused on the short term, and the steadily deteriorating condition of inancial markets, they cry out to be saved by central bank liquidity.

On the other side of the fence, are those who recognize the longer-term impact of these easy-money stimulus moves. In a word: inflation.

Even if it helps in the short run, easier monetary policy now would hurt the economy in the long run by weakening the dollar and boosting inflation, said Haag Sherman, managing director at Salient Partners in Houston.

"Ultimately these rate cuts will be self-defeating," Sherman said. "They are going to prove inflationary and bad for the dollar."

Additional commentary and video on the Fed move and the economy from Bloomberg; plus, more news of stocks taking it on the chin over in the Asia-Pacific region.

And if you'd like more perspective on the effectiveness of these Fed moves, please see our post on the last series of Fed rate cuts. Bob Hoye of Institutional Advisors makes some interesting points on the direction of short-term interest rates and the economy.

Popular posts from this blog

Lessons from Hedge Fund Market Wizards: Scott Ramsey

Today we continue our series, "Lessons from Hedge Fund Market Wizards" , with a look at Jack Schwager's interview with Scott Ramsey of Denali Asset Management.  Ramsey, a futures trader and CTA who works on the island of St. Croix, spoke to Schwager about his first foray into the markets, his evolution as a trader, and the process he stands by to protect and grow his clients' money. 1) . Ramsey started trading in college. He was roped into the OTC metals market via a broker's ad in the Wall St. Journal. The broker charged customers a flat fee to buy and sell as much as they wanted in a particular market for six month. At the time, Scott was a novice and didn't know about futures, so he traded metals in this fashion through the inflationary run-up of the late 1970s. 2) . Scott had to rethink his trading strategy after he bought silver at $50 an oz., only to watch it collapse to $26 following a long string of limit-down days. He sold as soon as the market...

Round trip stocks: momentum booms and busts

" No tree grows to Heaven ." - Old proverb adopted by Wall Street. What happens to hot momentum stocks when their rocket fuel runs out? How long can they continue to fly before they come crashing back down to earth? Why is the stock that you paid $100 a share for now trading at $39? These are questions that many novice traders and investors may be struggling with in the wake of the most recent market correction. Momentum stocks have been hit hard as the Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 indices have moved lower in recent weeks. Caught unaware by the recent slide, some traders may be wondering when their beaten-down stocks will snap back and allow them to exit with smaller losses (or even reach the mythical "break even" point).  While growth stocks still firmly within their uptrends may form constructive technical bases and move higher after this correction, others may experience sharper pullbacks or break down into full "stage 4" declines (see chart below...

Finance Trends 2019 Mid-Year Markets Review

Email subscribers of the Finance Trends Newsletter receive the first look at new articles and market updates, such as the following piece, sent out to our email list on Sunday (6/14).   Hello and welcome, everyone! If you received our last email notice over the July 4th holiday, you'll know that this weekend's newsletter will serve as a mid-year market update and a follow-up to issue #29, " How to Reinvest in a Rising Market ".   Ladies and gentlemen, without further ado, let's start the show...  Finance Trends Newsletter: Our Mid-Year Market Review When we last spoke, back in February, the U.S. stock market was rallying off its December-January lows. As the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reclaimed their 200 day moving averages in February and March, it became increasingly apparent that a lot of retail investors (and perhaps some institutional investors) were left under-invested while watching this recovery move from the sidelines.  The U.S. stock ...