Skip to main content

Fed rates heading toward zero

It looks like a Japan-style trip to zero interest rates is in the cards for the US. We've been watching this scenario unfold for months now, and it looks like ZIRP is finally here.

MarketWatch has more on the upcoming Fed rate cuts:

"The Federal Reserve is likely to cut the federal funds rate as low as it can go at this week's meeting, and to begin shifting its focus to nontraditional policies.

"It would make the most sense for this meeting to be the last rate cut rather than dragging it out to the January meeting," wrote Chris Rupkey, chief financial economist at Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi, adding that a "hallmark of the Bernanke Fed has been to move quickly and aggressively."

Rupkey's forecast calls for the Fed to cut rates by three-quarters of a percentage point to 0.25%. Most Wall Street firms expect a rate cut of a half point to .50%..."

Here are a few more details on the upcoming Fed meetings:

"...The two-day Fed meeting starts Monday afternoon. A statement on policy is expected at 2:15 p.m. Eastern time Tuesday.

Since the last Fed meeting, economic conditions have deteriorated, and many economic indicators have been setting multiyear lows.

The recession has turned into a global downturn, with similar weakness in Europe and Japan and many emerging economies.

The Fed meeting was originally set to last just one day, but an extra day was added to discuss various options for "quantitative easing" operations."

There's that term again: "quantitative easing". What exactly does this entail?

Regular readers of this blog may recall mention of this central bank policy in our "$6 trillion Fed balance sheet" post, as well as the December 5th, "Features of the Week". Please see these posts, and our related articles below, for more.

Related articles and posts:

1. Fed to cut rates again, maybe to zero - MarketWatch.

2. Fed to press rates toward zero - Reuters.

3. Zero rate world may lie ahead - Bloomberg.

4. Marc Faber: "Bernanke is a disaster" - Finance Trends.

Popular posts from this blog

Market Wizard, Steve Clark on Trading: Grow Your Equity Curve

Trading wisdom recap: Steve Clark , founder of Omni Partners, was featured in Jack Schwager's 2012 book, Hedge Fund Market Wizards .  Clark's interview with Schwager provided us with some valuable trading insights; "Lessons from Hedge Fund Market Wizards: Steve Clark" was one of our most popular posts ever. If I had to pick my favorite sections from Clark's chapter, it would be boiled down to these two concepts: "Do more of what works (and less of what doesn't work)" and "Manage your equity curve". Here's his full quote on the supreme importance of growing your equity curve :  "Your job as a trader is to make the line of your equity curve go from bottom left to top right. That's it. Don't get hung up on other supposed "mandates". Protect your capital and the direction of that equity line. "   I will leave you with one last series of quotes from Steve Clark's interview with Jack Schwager. ...

How to "Pull the Trigger" on Your Trading Ideas

In our last post, I quoted hedge fund manager, Jim Leitner on the importance of following up on your investment ideas.  Today I'd like to follow up and share some thoughts on how you can learn to consistently "pull the trigger" on your best trading setups and investing ideas. In order to help you do that, we'll take from the best and offer up key insights from interviews with top traders and trading psychologists like Alan Farley, Brett Steenbarger, and Doug Hirschhorn .  Now before we get to their key insights on overcoming trading anxiety and pulling the trigger on your trading ideas, let's remember what Jim Leitner said in his interview: "Learn to love to listen to people and when you hear something interesting, follow up on it. Don't just think, "Well that's an interesting idea" only to find out a year later that the company you could've bought shares in is now up 500-fold. You never want to say woulda, coulda, shoulda...

Seth Klarman: Margin of Safety (pdf)

Welcome, readers! Signup for free email updates at the Finance Trends Newsletter . Update: PDF links removed due to DMCA notice. Please see our extensive Klarman book notes below. New visitors, please check the Finance Trends home page for all new posts. Here's something for anyone who has been trying to get a look at Seth Klarman's now famous, and out of print, 1991 investment book, Margin of Safety .  My knowledge of value investing is pretty much limited to what I've read in Ben Graham's The Intelligent Investor (the book which originally popularized the investment concept of a "Margin of Safety"), so check out the wisdom from Seth Klarman and other investing greats in our related posts below. You can also go straight to Ronald Redfield's Margin of Safety book notes .    Related posts: 1. Seth Klarman interviews and Margin of Safety notes     2. Seth Klarman: Lessons from 2008 3. Investing Lessons from Sir John Templeton 4. ...